Then & Now

Five countries that started close together, and went separate ways

Around 1990, most of these countries sat in the same low-income, high-poverty bracket. Three decades on, they have pulled apart on income, health and poverty. The figures below come from the World Bank and the UN Development Programme.

What the numbers show

Four were bunched together in 1990

Pakistan, Bangladesh, Nepal and India had human development scores between 0.396 and 0.446. By 2023 they ranged from 0.544 to 0.685.

Sri Lanka was never in that bracket

Its 1990 child mortality was 23 per 1,000 births, against 127 to 146 for the other four. It still leads on income, human development, life expectancy and child survival.

Bangladesh caught up; Pakistan fell back

In 1990 Pakistan was richer than Bangladesh and had the longest life expectancy of the four. By 2024 Bangladesh matched India on income per person, and Pakistan trailed both on income, life expectancy and child survival.

Extreme poverty fell almost everywhere

India and Nepal are now under 3%, as was Sri Lanka in 2019, before its 2022 economic crisis. Pakistan is the exception: its rate rose from 16.5% in 2018 to 23.0% in 2024.

The indicators, country by country

Lighter bars show the earlier year; darker bars show the latest.

Income per person, 1990 and 2024

GDP per capita in current U.S. dollars. In 1990 every country was under $500 a head. Today Sri Lanka is at about three times Pakistan or Nepal.

India

1990$371
2024$2,592

Pakistan

1990$344
2024$1,479

Bangladesh

1990$283
2024$2,593

Sri Lanka

1990$491
2024$4,545

Nepal

1990$186
2024$1,460

For reference, United States: $23,889 (1990) → $86,170 (2024).
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators, NY.GDP.PCAP.CD.

Life expectancy at birth, 1990 and 2024

Years a newborn can expect to live. In 1990 Pakistan had the longest life expectancy of the four lower-ranked countries; today it has the shortest.

India

199058.6 yrs
202472.2 yrs

Pakistan

199059.7 yrs
202467.8 yrs

Bangladesh

199055.8 yrs
202474.9 yrs

Sri Lanka

199069.2 yrs
202477.7 yrs

Nepal

199054.8 yrs
202470.6 yrs

For reference, United States: 75.2 yrs (1990) → 78.9 yrs (2024).
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators, SP.DYN.LE00.IN.

Share living on under $3 a day, earliest survey and latest

Lower is better. Survey years differ by country and are shown beside each figure. Sri Lanka’s latest survey predates its 2022 economic crisis.

India

199347.5%
20232.6%

Pakistan

199079.5%
202423.0%

Bangladesh

199151.2%
20225.9%

Sri Lanka

199023.4%
20192.7%

Nepal

199571.1%
20222.4%

No comparable U.S. figure is published at this poverty line.
Source: World Bank, Poverty and Inequality Platform, SI.POV.DDAY ($3.00 a day, 2021 PPP).

Human Development Index, 1990 and 2023

A UN composite of health, education and income, from 0 to 1.

India

19900.446
20230.685

Pakistan

19900.396
20230.544

Bangladesh

19900.397
20230.685

Sri Lanka

19900.638
20230.776

Nepal

19900.404
20230.622

For reference, United States: 0.878 (1990) → 0.938 (2023).
Source: UNDP Human Development Report 2025, via Our World in Data.

Deaths before age 5 per 1,000 births, 1990 and 2024

Lower is better. Sri Lanka today is level with the United States.

India

1990127.0
202426.6

Pakistan

1990140.4
202456.0

Bangladesh

1990146.5
202430.5

Sri Lanka

199023.3
20245.9

Nepal

1990138.4
202425.1

For reference, United States: 11.2 (1990) → 6.5 (2024).
Source: World Bank, World Development Indicators, SH.DYN.MORT.

The full table

CountryIncome per person
1990 → 2024
Human Development Index
1990 → 2023
Life expectancy
1990 → 2024
Under-5 deaths per 1,000
1990 → 2024
Extreme poverty
earliest → latest
India$371 → $2,5920.446 → 0.68558.6 yrs → 72.2 yrs127.0 → 26.647.5% [1993] → 2.6% [2023]
Pakistan$344 → $1,4790.396 → 0.54459.7 yrs → 67.8 yrs140.4 → 56.079.5% [1990] → 23.0% [2024]
Bangladesh$283 → $2,5930.397 → 0.68555.8 yrs → 74.9 yrs146.5 → 30.551.2% [1991] → 5.9% [2022]
Sri Lanka$491 → $4,5450.638 → 0.77669.2 yrs → 77.7 yrs23.3 → 5.923.4% [1990] → 2.7% [2019]
Nepal$186 → $1,4600.404 → 0.62254.8 yrs → 70.6 yrs138.4 → 25.171.1% [1995] → 2.4% [2022]
United States$23,889 → $86,1700.878 → 0.93875.2 yrs → 78.9 yrs11.2 → 6.5n/a

Income is GDP per capita in current U.S. dollars, so 1990 figures are not adjusted for inflation; compare countries within a year, not across years. Extreme poverty is the share living on less than $3.00 a day (2021 prices), from household surveys taken in the years shown in brackets; no U.S. figure is published on this basis.

Rights and freedoms

This section uses two independent sources: V-Dem's civil liberties index for the long trend since 1990, and Pew Research Center's religious-restrictions indexes for how minorities of faith fare today.

No measure of rights and freedoms is beyond dispute. The leading indices rely on the judgment of country experts, and governments that score poorly often reject them. Yet independent indices built by different teams, using different methods, largely agree, which suggests the broad picture is sound even where individual scores are debatable.

Civil liberties, 1990 to 2025

V-Dem's index scores freedom of expression and association, freedom from political violence, and equal protection of the law, from 0 (none) to 1 (full). Higher is better.

Country19902000201420202025
India0.730.750.710.540.53
Pakistan0.490.510.520.490.47
Bangladesh0.510.660.470.390.63
Sri Lanka0.460.580.590.660.82
Nepal0.560.620.780.760.74
United States0.950.950.950.920.83
  • India led the group in 1990 and 2000 and held above 0.7 through 2014, then fell sharply; it now ranks fourth of the five.
  • Sri Lanka moved the other way, from the lowest score in 1990, during its civil war, to the highest today.
  • Bangladesh fell to its lowest point under Sheikh Hasina's government and recovered after her fall in 2024. Pakistan has barely moved and remains the lowest.

Religious freedom, 2023

Pew scores two things from 0 to 10, where higher is worse: restrictions on religion imposed by governments, and hostility toward religious groups from individuals and organized groups in society.

CountryGovernment restrictionsSocial hostilities
India6.4 · High8.8 · Very high
Pakistan7.1 · Very high7.5 · Very high
Bangladesh5.5 · High7.8 · Very high
Sri Lanka5.9 · High6.3 · High
Nepal5.4 · High6.2 · High

All five score high or very high on both measures. The region's religious tensions are shared, even where its other trends diverge. India has the highest social-hostilities score of the five; Pakistan has the most government restrictions.

Sources: V-Dem Institute, Varieties of Democracy dataset v16 (2026), civil liberties index (v2x_civlib), built from country-expert surveys. Pew Research Center, Government Restrictions Index and Social Hostilities Index, 2023 data, published 2026. Pew's series begins in 2007, so it has no 1990 baseline.